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Rakhine United vs Dagon

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Htwe Yan Kyaw
90'
Htun N. N.
90' Event
Wai H. P.

AI Match Summary

Dagon in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Rakhine United
20%
Draws
73%
Dagon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Rakhine United haven't matched Dagon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dagon's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dagon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 10%
Dagon Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakhine United Dagon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Rakhine United
1:0
Jan 5, 2026 National League
Rakhine United vs Dagon
0:2
Oct 21, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Rakhine United
1:0
Sep 9, 2024 National League
Rakhine United vs Dagon
1:5
Jul 21, 2023 National League
Dagon vs Rakhine United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakhine United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Htwe Yan Kyaw
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wai H. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakhine United 10 / 100
Dagon 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakhine United Dagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakhine United's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Dagon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Rakhine United remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rakhine United VS Dagon
1 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakhine United

(Home)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 6

Dagon

(Away)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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