Sport Picks
Rakhine United vs Kachin United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Myanmar
MNL League Cup 2024 
Match Events
35'
35'
Lin Z.
45'
45'
Soe Kyaw Zin
68'
68'
Traore A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Kachin United in this MNL League Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kachin United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rakhine United lately — more wins on the board than Kachin United.
- Model gives Rakhine United a 23% chance of winning this.
- Rakhine United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Kachin United, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 13%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rakhine United | Kachin United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2024 MNL League Cup
Kachin United vs Rakhine United
0:5
Mar 9, 2024 MNL League Cup
Rakhine United vs Kachin United
1:2
Dec 2, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Rakhine United
0:2
Jun 22, 2023 National League
Rakhine United vs Kachin United
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rakhine United Compare
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77
Kachin United Compare
Top Goalscorer Lin Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Soe Kyaw Zin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rakhine United 66 / 100
Kachin United 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rakhine United Kachin United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rakhine United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rakhine United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (40 games).
Kachin United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Difficult form: Kachin United registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rakhine United VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rakhine United
(Home) 16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2 Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0 Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3 Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6 Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0 Rakhine United
Page 1 of 8
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2 Ispe
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6 Shan United
10 Feb
Rakhine United
2 : 2 Mahar United
05 Feb
Rakhine United
2 : 0 Yadanarbon
22 Jan
Rakhine United
0 : 0 Thitsar Arman
Page 1 of 4
Kachin United
(Away) 21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0 Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7 Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0 Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2 Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1 Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0 Kachin United
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0 Kachin United
05 Apr
Glory Goal
0 : 5 Kachin United
31 Mar
Shan United
5 : 0 Kachin United
09 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2 Kachin United
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yangon United | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30:2 | 24 |
| 2 | Mahar United | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 26:12 | 15 |
| 3 | University | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 17:23 | 9 |
| 4 | Chinland | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13:21 | 9 |
| 5 | Shwe Pyi Thar | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13:41 | 3 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shan United | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 29:3 | 21 |
| 2 | Rakhine United | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 29:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Kachin United | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 4 | Glory Goal | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6:21 | 7 |
| 5 | Rainbow | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:40 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagon | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 20:5 | 20 |
| 2 | Hantharwady United | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Ayeyawady | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Dagon Port | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 19:11 | 8 |
| 5 | Silver Stars | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:46 | 0 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yadanarbon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Ispe | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 19:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Thitsar Arman | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 4 | Myawady | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 5 | Rakhapura United | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6:25 | 1 |
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)
