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Rakhine United vs Rainbow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

MNL League Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ko Ko K.
48' Event
Zaw A. T.
49' Event
Maung Z. W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Rakhine United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Rakhine United
15%
Draws
0%
Rainbow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakhine United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Rakhine United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Rakhine United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Rakhine United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Rakhine United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Rakhine United Clean Sheet 13%
Rainbow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakhine United Rainbow
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 10 0
Draws 7 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.94 0.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2024 MNL League Cup
Rakhine United vs Rainbow
5:0
Mar 31, 2024 MNL League Cup
Rainbow vs Rakhine United
2:11

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakhine United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko Ko K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaw A. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Rainbow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakhine United 84 / 100
Rainbow 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakhine United Rainbow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakhine United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rainbow has conceded goals in 100% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

Rainbow's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Rakhine United found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Rakhine United VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakhine United

(Home)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Hantharwady United
0 : 0
Rakhine United
06 Mar
Dagon Port
5 : 3
Rakhine United
02 Mar
Rakhine United
0 : 6
Shan United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 7

Rainbow

(Away)
14 May
Rakhine United
5 : 0
Rainbow
08 May
Glory Goal
2 : 1
Rainbow
02 May
Kachin United
5 : 0
Rainbow
26 Apr
Rainbow
0 : 7
Shan United
31 Mar
Rainbow
2 : 11
Rakhine United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yangon United 8 8 0 0 30:2 24
2 Mahar United 8 5 0 3 26:12 15
3 University 8 3 0 5 17:23 9
4 Chinland 8 3 0 5 13:21 9
5 Shwe Pyi Thar 8 1 0 7 13:41 3
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 8 7 0 1 29:3 21
2 Rakhine United 8 6 0 2 29:6 18
3 Kachin United 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
4 Glory Goal 8 2 1 5 6:21 7
5 Rainbow 8 0 0 8 3:40 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dagon 8 6 2 0 20:5 20
2 Hantharwady United 8 5 1 2 22:10 16
3 Ayeyawady 8 4 1 3 17:9 13
4 Dagon Port 8 2 2 4 19:11 8
5 Silver Stars 8 0 0 8 3:46 0
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yadanarbon 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
2 Ispe 8 4 3 1 19:10 15
3 Thitsar Arman 8 4 2 2 16:12 14
4 Myawady 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Rakhapura United 8 0 1 7 6:25 1
Promotion - MNL League Cup 2024 (Play Offs)