Sport Picks
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2017/2018 game between Rakovski 2011 and Karnobat finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rakovski 2011.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakovski 2011
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Rakovski 2011 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Rakovski 2011 a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rakovski 2011 Clean Sheet 18%
Karnobat Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rakovski 2011 | Karnobat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 40 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 24 | 32 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.46 | 2.85 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 19, 2018 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
2:1
Nov 11, 2017 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Rakovski 2011
4:1
Apr 5, 2017 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
2:1
Sep 17, 2016 Third League - South-East
Karnobat vs Rakovski 2011
7:2
Apr 29, 2016 Third League - South-East
Rakovski 2011 vs Karnobat
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rakovski 2011 85 / 100
Karnobat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rakovski 2011 Karnobat
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rakovski 2011 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Karnobat conceded in 90% of 40 recent games.
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Karnobat lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Rakovski 2011 scored in 74% of their last 35 games.
Scoring Trends
Rakovski 2011 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Rakovski 2011
(Home) 27 May
Sozopol
4 : 1 Rakovski 2011
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5 Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1 Sekirovo Rakovski
13 May
OFC Haskovo
2 : 3 Rakovski 2011
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv II
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 5 Yambol 1915
16 May
Rakovski 2011
0 : 1 Sekirovo Rakovski
09 May
Rakovski 2011
2 : 1 Lok. Plovdiv II
29 Apr
Rakovski 2011
1 : 0 Dimitrovgrad
17 Apr
Rakovski 2011
2 : 0 Asenovets
Page 1 of 4
Karnobat
(Away) 31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0 Karnobat
24 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 Dimitrovgrad
17 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 OFC Haskovo
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Karnobat
10 May
Karnobat
0 : 3 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 8
31 May
Maritsa Milevo
3 : 0 Karnobat
14 May
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Karnobat
03 May
Sekirovo Rakovski
3 : 0 Karnobat
26 Apr
Levski Karlovo
3 : 0 Karnobat
12 Apr
Maritsa Plovdiv
3 : 0 Karnobat
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arda | 34 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 142:7 | 94 |
| 2 | Zagorets | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 67:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Radnevo | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 63:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Rozova Dolina | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 64:41 | 57 |
| 5 | Atletik Kuklen | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 55:51 | 56 |
| 6 | Sokol Markovo | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 63:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Karnobat | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 65:50 | 52 |
| 8 | Levski Karlovo | 34 | 16 | 3 | 15 | 51:58 | 51 |
| 9 | Borislav Parvomay | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 65:62 | 50 |
| 10 | Asenovets | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 11 | Dimitrovgrad | 34 | 15 | 3 | 16 | 46:62 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 33:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Svilengrad 1921 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 17 | 52:89 | 43 |
| 14 | Evrokolezh | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 63:71 | 42 |
| 15 | Yambol 1915 | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 62:59 | 38 |
| 16 | Rakovski 2011 | 34 | 11 | 2 | 21 | 44:65 | 35 |
| 17 | Vereya 2 | 34 | 10 | 3 | 21 | 45:88 | 33 |
| 18 | Yagoda | 34 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 15:127 | 2 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)
