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Rakvere vs Elva

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2020 game between Rakvere and Elva finished 1-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rakvere
15%
Draws
45%
Elva
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Elva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rakvere haven't matched Elva's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Rakvere a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Elva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%
Elva Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere Elva
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 1.1 2
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2020 Club Friendly
Rakvere vs Elva
1:8
Oct 5, 2019 Esiliiga
Elva vs Rakvere
2:0
Aug 23, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Elva
1:4
May 30, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Elva
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Esiliiga
Elva vs Rakvere
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 56 / 100
Elva 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere Elva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Rakvere scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Elva has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Rakvere stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Elva
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakvere

(Home)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
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Elva

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
19 Sept
Elva
1 : 1
FC Tallinn
13 Sept
Flora Tallinn U21
1 : 2
Elva
10 Sept
Viimsi JK
5 : 0
Elva
06 Sept
Elva
1 : 0
Kalju U21
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