Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rakvere vs JK Poseidon

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Larin A.
49' Event
Kuokkanen M.
53' Event
Ljas J.

AI Match Summary

Rakvere in this Estonian Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Rakvere
15%
Draws
42%
JK Poseidon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • JK Poseidon have won more games recently than Rakvere.
  • Win probability leans Rakvere's way, sitting at 90%.
  • JK Poseidon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rakvere, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%
JK Poseidon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere JK Poseidon
Matches Played 31 26
Wins 8 12
Draws 2 0
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.19 2.08
Goals Conceded 2.58 4.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2017 Estonian Cup
Rakvere vs JK Poseidon
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakvere Compare

Top Goalscorer Larin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kuokkanen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

JK Poseidon Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 83 / 100
JK Poseidon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere JK Poseidon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

JK Poseidon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Rakvere found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Rakvere has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Rakvere VS JK Poseidon
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakvere

(Home)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 7

JK Poseidon

(Away)
11 Aug
JK Poseidon
0 : 12
Kalju
23 Jul
JK Poseidon
3 : 2
Helm
15 Oct
JK Poseidon
0 : 6
Tartu JK Welco
27 Aug
JK Poseidon
1 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
26 Jul
Maardu Aliens
1 : 4
JK Poseidon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Narva 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Kose 1
Raasiku Joker 10
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Rakvere 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Ambla -
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Anija 7
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Elbato 1
Lihula JK 7
Castovanni Eagles -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn II 0
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 13
Viimsi JK 2 0
TBD -
Koeru -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
Soccernet 1
TBD -
Lelle -
FC Tartu 3
Eston Villa 1
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
JK Poseidon II 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 7
Rakvere II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 2
Saue JK Laagri 10
Flora U19 5
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Raplamaa 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Paide Linnameeskond 27
FC Hiiu United 0
Imavere Forss 1
Jogeva 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Nomme Utd 0
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Rumori Calcio II 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Jogeva Wolves 5
Odratakkel 1
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Otepaa 6
Jarva-Jaani 18
JK 32. keskkool 2
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Tartu Ulikool 1
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Wolves 0
TransferWise 2
Kohila -
TBD -
Oismae Torm 2
Jogeva Wolves II 3
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva 1
Kadrina SK Moe 4
Loo JK -
TBD -
Navi Vutiselts 2
Rada Kuusalu 4
Kadakas 7
Raudteetoolised 2
TBD -
Rapla Lokomotiiv -
Molycorp Silmet 2
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Elva -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
FC Ararat 5
SK Taaksi 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Maardu Aliens 2
Narva United -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Olympic Tallinn 1
Helios 1
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Narva 8
Pohja-Sakala 0
Legion 0
Levadia Tallinn III 3
JK Poseidon 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Rakvere 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Ambla 1
Tallinna Depoo 1
Ganvix Turi 12
Anija 5
Lihula JK 1
Castovanni Eagles 0
FCI Tallinn 4
Kalju 1
Koeru 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Lelle 3
FC Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Santos Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora U19 0
Tartu JK Welco 2
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Jogeva 3
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 8
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Viimsi JK 6
Zenit Tallinn 5
Otepaa 2
Jarva-Jaani 1
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu United 10
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu Ulikool 2
TransferWise 3
Kohila 3
Jogeva Wolves II 0
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tulevik 1
Kuressaare 12
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Loo JK 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Kadakas 2
Rapla Lokomotiiv 1
Molycorp Silmet 0
Rumori Calcio 6
Elva 8
FC Ararat 0
SK Taaksi 1
Maardu Aliens 6
Narva United 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Flora 7
1/16-finals
Narva 9
Levadia Tallinn III 2
JK Poseidon 0
Rakvere 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Ganvix Turi 1
Anija 0
FCI Tallinn 16
Kalju 8
Lelle 0
FC Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
Tartu JK Welco 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viimsi JK 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Pohja-Tallinna 5
Maardu United 5
TransferWise 4
Kohila 0
Tulevik 8
Kuressaare 9
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kadakas 2
Rumori Calcio 3
Elva 3
Maardu Aliens 0
Narva United 0
Flora 8
1/8-finals
Narva 2
Rakvere 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Levadia 7
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu United -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare 6
Rumori Calcio 0
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Levadia 1
Flora Tallinn U21 7
Tulevik 3
Kuressaare 0
Flora 7
Semi-finals
Narva 0
Levadia 5
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Flora 9
Final
Levadia 1
Flora 0