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Rakvere vs Kalju II

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
43' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

Kalju II in this Esiliiga 2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kalju II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rakvere
28%
Draws
22%
Kalju II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Rakvere have won more games recently than Kalju II.
  • Rakvere are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Esiliiga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere Kalju II
Matches Played 44 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.75 2
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2015 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Kalju II
1:2
Aug 22, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Rakvere
1:1
May 24, 2015 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Kalju II
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Rakvere
1:0
Oct 26, 2014 Esiliiga
Kalju II vs Rakvere
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 47 / 100
Kalju II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere Kalju II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakvere scored in 66% of their last 44 games.

Defensive concern: Kalju II conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Rakvere went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rakvere VS Kalju II
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora Tallinn U2136226876:4072
2Levadia Tallinn II362259118:5771
3FCI Tallinn II3620610108:4866
4Rakvere3612111352:5347
5Kalju II361441850:5646
6Tallinna Kalev361371647:5946
7Kivioli Irbis361351860:8744
8Santos Tartu361261856:8342
9Vandra Vaprus361152043:8038
10Kuressaare361071948:9537