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Rakvere vs Legion Prediction & H2H Stats

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Satov M.
25' Event
Alijev R.
53' Event
Zassuhhin V.

AI Match Summary

Legion in this Esiliiga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Rakvere
15%
Draws
8%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rakvere lately — more wins on the board than Legion.
  • Win probability leans Rakvere's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Legion have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 20%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere Legion
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 5
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.13 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.63 3.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Legion
0:4
Sep 1, 2019 Esiliiga
Legion vs Rakvere
2:0
Jul 1, 2019 Esiliiga
Legion vs Rakvere
9:0
Apr 18, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Legion
0:3
Jul 18, 2018 Estonian Cup
Rakvere vs Legion
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakvere Compare

Avg xG / game 2
Avg xA / game 1.3

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Satov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alijev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 85 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rakvere stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Legion registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Legion
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakvere

(Home)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 7

Legion

(Away)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legion 36 29 4 3 127:35 91
2 Flora Tallinn U21 36 22 7 7 85:37 73
3 Parnu JK Vaprus 36 21 4 11 73:48 67
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 36 18 4 14 59:55 58
5 Elva 36 18 2 16 67:63 56
6 Levadia U21 36 16 5 15 80:65 53
7 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 36 12 4 20 51:82 40
8 Rakvere 36 8 4 24 35:98 28
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 8 4 24 38:82 28
10 Tartu JK Welco 36 6 6 24 39:89 24
Relegation - Esiliiga 2019 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2019 (Relegation)