Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rakvere vs Parnu-Jaagupi

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Sub
Valk K. In: Novikov J.
Out: Valk K.
22' Event
Parnat R.
28' Event
Makovei K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Parnu-Jaagupi advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Rakvere
15%
Draws
39%
Parnu-Jaagupi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rakvere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Rakvere carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Rakvere have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parnu-Jaagupi, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 20%
Parnu-Jaagupi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere Parnu-Jaagupi
Matches Played 30 4
Wins 7 2
Draws 2 0
Losses 21 2
Goals Scored 1.1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2019 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Parnu-Jaagupi
0:4
Nov 17, 2019 Esiliiga
Parnu-Jaagupi vs Rakvere
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rakvere Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Parnu-Jaagupi Compare

Top Goalscorer Makovei K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parnat R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 31 / 100
Parnu-Jaagupi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere Parnu-Jaagupi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rakvere Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Rakvere's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Parnu-Jaagupi let in goals in 67% of their last 3 matches.

Solid form: Rakvere remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rakvere VS Parnu-Jaagupi
0.5 Goals Scored 3.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rakvere

(Home)
19 Oct
Johvi Phoenix
1 : 0
Rakvere
25 Aug
Helm
1 : 4
Rakvere
27 Jul
Saku Sporting
0 : 2
Rakvere
23 Jul
Helios
3 : 1
Rakvere
10 Jul
Rakvere
3 : 1
Puhkus Mehhikos
Page 1 of 6

Parnu-Jaagupi

(Away)
23 Nov
Rakvere
0 : 4
Parnu-Jaagupi
17 Nov
Parnu-Jaagupi
3 : 2
Rakvere
13 Jul
Pohja-Sakala
5 : 2
Parnu-Jaagupi
05 Jun
Johvi Phoenix
:
Parnu-Jaagupi

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Parnu-Jaagupi 7
Rakvere 2