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Rakvere vs Tartu SK 10

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2013
Rakvere Logo

Rakvere

1 - 2
FT
Tartu SK 10 Logo

Tartu SK 10

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rakvere play Tartu SK 10 in the Esiliiga 2013. Tartu SK 10 are favorites here. Recently, Rakvere averaged 1.08 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. Tartu SK 10 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Rakvere won 0, Tartu SK 10 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 20, 2013 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.85 for Rakvere and 1.94 for Tartu SK 10. This points to a Tartu SK 10 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Rakvere
15%
Draws
60%
Tartu SK 10
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu SK 10

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Rakvere picked up more points recently compared to Tartu SK 10.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.85 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Rakvere Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu SK 10 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rakvere Tartu SK 10
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 1.08 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.93

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2013 Esiliiga
Tartu SK 10 vs Rakvere
2:1
Aug 10, 2013 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Tartu SK 10
1:2
May 22, 2013 Esiliiga
Tartu SK 10 vs Rakvere
4:0
Apr 12, 2013 Esiliiga
Rakvere vs Tartu SK 10
1:2
Oct 3, 2012 Esiliiga
Tartu SK 10 vs Rakvere
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rakvere 25 / 100
Tartu SK 10 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rakvere Tartu SK 10

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tartu SK 10 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Tartu SK 10 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rakvere attacking → ← attacking Tartu SK 10

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rakvere scored in 61% of their last 38 games.

Tartu SK 10 let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Rakvere went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Tartu SK 10 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 44
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Levadia Tallinn II362010694:4170
2Johvi Phoenix36209780:3969
3Flora Tallinn U21361761356:5457
4Rakvere361681268:5856
5Tartu SK 10361731658:6754
6Tammeka Tartu II361571470:5752
7Vandra Vaprus3612101461:5546
8Tulevik3612101446:5746
9Puuma36852340:9129
10Kivioli Irbis36742560:11425