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Ramiro Castillo vs Aurora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2014/2015 game between Ramiro Castillo and Aurora finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ramiro Castillo
20%
Draws
38%
Aurora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ramiro Castillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Ramiro Castillo haven't matched Aurora's recent run of results.
  • Ramiro Castillo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ramiro Castillo Clean Sheet 20%
Aurora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ramiro Castillo Aurora
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 16 18
Draws 10 13
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.97 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo
3:1
May 12, 2017 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ramiro Castillo vs Aurora
0:1
Dec 8, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ramiro Castillo vs Aurora
1:1
Nov 19, 2016 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo
2:0
Nov 30, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Aurora vs Ramiro Castillo
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ramiro Castillo 85 / 100
Aurora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ramiro Castillo Aurora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ramiro Castillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ramiro Castillo scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Aurora let in goals in 64% of their last 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ramiro Castillo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aurora
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ramiro Castillo

(Home)
11 Nov
Deportivo Escara
1 : 3
Ramiro Castillo
08 Nov
Deportivo Kala
2 : 7
Ramiro Castillo
04 Nov
Ramiro Castillo
5 : 2
Enrique Happ
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
2 : 0
Ramiro Castillo
18 Oct
Ramiro Castillo
4 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 7

Aurora

(Away)
07 Oct
Aurora
2 : 0
Academia del Balompie
03 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Aurora
30 Sept
Aurora
2 : 2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
25 Sept
Academia del Balompie
0 : 1
Aurora
19 Sept
Aurora
4 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 8 5 2 1 17:6 17
2 Destroyers 8 4 3 1 22:5 15
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
4 El Torno FC 8 3 1 4 18:14 10
5 Real Mapajo 8 0 0 8 2:34 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maestranza 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 4 1 3 18:11 13
3 Aurora 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Enrique Happ 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
5 Oruro Royal 8 0 1 7 7:27 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 7 1 0 26:6 22
2 Ciclon 8 5 1 2 24:12 16
3 Fancesa 8 4 2 2 21:15 14
4 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 1 0 7 13:20 3
5 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 1 0 7 15:46 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)