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Ranchers Bees vs Bendel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Okorie C.
66' Event
Lekan G.
79' Event
Rabiu Z.

AI Match Summary

Ranchers Bees in this NPFL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ranchers Bees.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Ranchers Bees
30%
Draws
52%
Bendel
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bendel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ranchers Bees haven't matched Bendel's recent run of results.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ranchers Bees here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 14%
Bendel Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranchers Bees Bendel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 NPFL
Ranchers Bees vs Bendel
2:1
Jul 12, 2006 NPFL
Bendel vs Ranchers Bees
2:0
Apr 29, 2006 NPFL
Ranchers Bees vs Bendel
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ranchers Bees Compare

Top Goalscorer Okorie C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rabiu Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bendel Compare

Top Goalscorer Lekan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranchers Bees 35 / 100
Bendel 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranchers Bees Bendel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bendel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bendel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Ranchers Bees has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ranchers Bees scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ranchers Bees VS Bendel
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ranchers Bees

(Home)
01 Nov
Inter Lagos
1 : 1
Ranchers Bees
16 Oct
Shooting
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
10 Oct
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
04 Oct
Kwara
2 : 1
Ranchers Bees
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0
Rivers United
Page 1 of 6

Bendel

(Away)
04 Nov
Rangers International
1 : 0
Bendel
01 Nov
Kwara
1 : 2
Bendel
25 Oct
Bendel
2 : 1
Rivers United
11 Oct
Sporting Lagos
2 : 1
Bendel
04 Oct
Bendel
4 : 1
Barau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Kano Pillars 12 4 7 1 15:12 19
3 Rivers United 11 4 6 1 15:5 18
4 Bendel 11 6 0 5 18:16 18
5 Nasarawa United 11 5 2 4 11:10 17
6 Plateau United 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Barau 11 3 7 1 13:10 16
8 Niger Tornadoes 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
9 Katsina Utd 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
10 Shooting 11 4 3 4 16:15 15
11 Sporting Lagos 10 4 3 3 14:13 15
12 Doma United 10 4 3 3 13:13 15
13 Ikorodu City 11 3 5 3 15:13 14
14 Warri Wolves 11 3 4 4 7:8 13
15 Kun Khalifa 12 3 4 5 10:17 13
16 Kwara 11 3 3 5 12:13 12
17 Enyimba International 11 3 2 6 12:15 11
18 Abia Warriors 11 2 4 5 10:17 10
19 Ranchers Bees 10 2 3 5 11:14 9
20 Inter Lagos 11 1 3 7 6:20 3
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)