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Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Nigeria Nigeria

NPFL
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ranchers Bees host Niger Tornadoes in the NPFL. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Niger Tornadoes have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Ranchers Bees have conceded 1.39 and scored 0.93. Past meetings favor Ranchers Bees slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2010, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back Ranchers Bees to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ranchers Bees
30%
Draws
16%
Niger Tornadoes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ranchers Bees

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ranchers Bees come out ahead of Niger Tornadoes on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ranchers Bees's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Ranchers Bees Clean Sheet 20%
Niger Tornadoes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranchers Bees Niger Tornadoes
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2010 NPFL
Ranchers Bees vs Niger Tornadoes
2:1
Oct 3, 2009 NPFL
Niger Tornadoes vs Ranchers Bees
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranchers Bees 42 / 100
Niger Tornadoes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranchers Bees Niger Tornadoes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Ranchers Bees has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Niger Tornadoes's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ranchers Bees scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ranchers Bees VS Niger Tornadoes
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ranchers Bees

(Home)
28 Sept
Ranchers Bees
0 : 0
Rivers United
23 Sept
Rangers International
1 : 0
Ranchers Bees
19 Sept
Ranchers Bees
2 : 1
Bendel
13 Sept
Barau
3 : 1
Ranchers Bees
07 Sept
Ranchers Bees
4 : 0
Abia Warriors
Page 1 of 6

Niger Tornadoes

(Away)
27 Sept
Nasarawa United
1 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
23 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
0 : 0
Warri Wolves
19 Sept
Katsina Utd
1 : 0
Niger Tornadoes
14 Sept
Niger Tornadoes
1 : 1
Plateau United
06 Sept
Kano Pillars
3 : 2
Niger Tornadoes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rangers International 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Rivers United 6 3 3 0 11:2 12
3 Barau 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Plateau United 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
5 Doma United 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
6 Kano Pillars 5 2 3 0 10:6 9
7 Ikorodu City 6 2 3 1 8:5 9
8 Bendel 6 3 0 3 9:10 9
9 Sporting Lagos 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Abia Warriors 6 2 2 2 7:8 8
11 Katsina Utd 6 2 2 2 5:8 8
12 Kwara 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
13 Ranchers Bees 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
14 Nasarawa United 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Warri Wolves 6 2 1 3 3:5 7
16 Shooting 5 2 0 3 7:9 6
17 Niger Tornadoes 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
18 Kun Khalifa 6 1 2 3 5:13 5
19 Enyimba International 6 1 1 4 7:10 4
20 Inter Lagos 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)