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Randers FC vs Aarhus Prediction & H2H Stats

Denmark Denmark

Superliga Cepheus Park, Randers
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mahmoud E.
Assist: Themsen M.
28' Event
Themsen M.
Assist: Junker K.
46'
Sub
Solbakken M. In: Serra J.
Out: Solbakken M.

AI Match Summary

The Superliga game between Randers FC and Aarhus finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Randers FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Randers FC
20%
Draws
46%
Aarhus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aarhus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aarhus come out ahead of Randers FC on wins alone.
  • Randers FC are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Superliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Randers FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Randers FC Clean Sheet 18%
Aarhus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Randers FC Aarhus
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Superliga
Randers FC vs Aarhus
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Superliga
Randers FC vs Aarhus
1:2
Jul 25, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs Randers FC
1:2
May 11, 2025 Superliga
Aarhus vs Randers FC
1:3
Apr 17, 2025 Superliga
Randers FC vs Aarhus
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Randers FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahmoud E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Themsen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Aarhus Compare

Top Goalscorer Serra J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Randers FC 41 / 100
Aarhus 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Randers FC Aarhus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aarhus has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: Randers FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Randers FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Randers FC VS Aarhus
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Randers FC

(Home)
02 Oct
Randers FC
0 : 1
Aalborg
20 Sept
Sonderjyske
4 : 2
Randers FC
16 Sept
Vendsyssel FF
1 : 3
Randers FC
13 Sept
Randers FC
1 : 2
Odense
06 Sept
Brondby
0 : 3
Randers FC
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Aarhus

(Away)
02 Oct
Aarhus
2 : 1
Vendsyssel FF
20 Sept
Horsens
2 : 2
Aarhus
16 Sept
Skjold
1 : 6
Aarhus
13 Sept
Nordsjaelland
2 : 0
Aarhus
05 Sept
Aarhus
2 : 2
Silkeborg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Copenhagen 9 8 0 1 23:8 24
2 Midtjylland 9 5 4 0 17:9 19
3 Viborg 9 5 2 2 15:8 17
4 Nordsjaelland 9 5 2 2 14:10 17
5 Brondby 9 4 1 4 12:15 13
6 Horsens 9 3 2 4 15:16 11
7 Silkeborg 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
8 Randers FC 9 3 1 5 11:14 10
9 Odense 9 2 3 4 8:14 9
10 Lyngby 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
11 Aarhus 9 0 5 4 11:17 5
12 Sonderjyske 9 1 2 6 12:21 5
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Superliga (Relegation Group)