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Rangers vs San Felipe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Fiscal de Talca, Talca
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rangers host San Felipe in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rangers have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.55 conceded recently, against San Felipe's 0.66 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Rangers slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.81) point toward San Felipe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Rangers
20%
Draws
15%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and San Felipe come out ahead of Rangers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rangers a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Rangers Clean Sheet 20%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rangers San Felipe
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.86 0.66
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Rangers
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Rangers vs San Felipe
2:1
May 17, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Rangers
0:2
Sep 8, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Rangers vs San Felipe
1:1
Apr 28, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Rangers
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rangers 76 / 100
San Felipe 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rangers San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Felipe has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Rangers went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: San Felipe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rangers VS San Felipe
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 25%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rangers

(Home)
04 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
Rangers
14 Sept
Rangers
1 : 2
Deportes Iquique
08 Sept
D. Puerto Montt
1 : 2
Rangers
04 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
29 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 1
Rangers
Page 1 of 6

San Felipe

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)