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Ranong vs Suphanburi FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
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Match Events

82' Event
Joao Paulo

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2022/2023 game between Ranong and Suphanburi FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suphanburi FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ranong
15%
Draws
0%
Suphanburi FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ranong

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Suphanburi FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ranong a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ranong Clean Sheet 68%
Suphanburi FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ranong Suphanburi FC
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.8 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Thai League 2
Ranong vs Suphanburi FC
0:1
Oct 8, 2022 Thai League 2
Suphanburi FC vs Ranong
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ranong Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Suphanburi FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Paulo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ranong 59 / 100
Suphanburi FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ranong Suphanburi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ranong Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suphanburi FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Suphanburi FC let in goals in 77% of their last 39 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Ranong scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Suphanburi FC
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ranong

(Home)
30 Apr
Chiangmai FC
3 : 2
Ranong
22 Apr
Ranong
0 : 5
Uthai Thani
08 Apr
Samut Prakan City
2 : 0
Ranong
02 Apr
Ranong
2 : 2
Krabi
29 Mar
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 0
Ranong
Page 1 of 6

Suphanburi FC

(Away)
26 Apr
Suphanburi FC
0 : 1
Chonburi
19 Apr
Bangkok FC
3 : 2
Suphanburi FC
09 Apr
Suphanburi FC
1 : 7
Ratchaburi
06 Apr
Suphanburi FC
0 : 2
Mahasarakham
02 Apr
Chainat Hornbill
2 : 1
Suphanburi FC
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
Promotion - Thai League 1 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)