Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RANS Nusantara vs Balikpapan

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Pakansari Stadium, Cibinong
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nishihara T.
Assist: Yoshihama R.
19' Event
Yoshihama R.
Assist: Mukhram A.
35'
Sub
Rafli M. In: Aqyuba A.
Out: Rafli M.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between RANS Nusantara and Balikpapan finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RANS Nusantara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
RANS Nusantara
15%
Draws
26%
Balikpapan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RANS Nusantara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • RANS Nusantara haven't matched Balikpapan's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Balikpapan a 26% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
RANS Nusantara Clean Sheet 21%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RANS Nusantara Balikpapan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 19
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Championship
RANS Nusantara vs Balikpapan
3:2
Dec 19, 2021 Championship
Balikpapan vs RANS Nusantara
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RANS Nusantara Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamis A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andersen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Balikpapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Nishihara T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yoshihama R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RANS Nusantara 10 / 100
Balikpapan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RANS Nusantara Balikpapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balikpapan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikpapan has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: RANS Nusantara stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Balikpapan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RANS Nusantara VS Balikpapan
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

RANS Nusantara

(Home)
03 Oct
PSBS Biak Numfor
1 : 5
RANS Nusantara
27 Sept
RANS Nusantara
1 : 2
Deltras Sidoarjo
19 Sept
Dejan
3 : 3
RANS Nusantara
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2
Balikpapan
22 Aug
RANS Nusantara
0 : 2
Arema FC
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Balikpapan

(Away)
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1
Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2
Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1
Balikpapan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
2 Persikad Depok 4 3 0 1 6:7 9
3 Semen Padang 3 2 1 0 4:1 6
4 PSIS Semarang 3 2 1 0 4:2 6
5 PSPS Riau 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 PSGC Ciamis 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 Sumsel United 4 1 1 2 5:7 3
8 Bekasi City 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
9 Persiraja Aceh 4 0 0 4 3:7 -1
10 Persiku Kudus 3 0 1 2 2:9 -1
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deltras Sidoarjo 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Persela Lamongan 4 4 0 0 10:0 11
3 RANS Nusantara 4 2 1 1 12:8 7
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 4 2 2 0 5:2 7
5 Persipura Jayapura 4 1 2 1 6:5 4
6 PS Barito Putera 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 Persis Solo 4 1 1 2 8:5 4
8 Dejan 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
9 Balikpapan 4 0 0 4 2:7 -4
10 PSBS Biak Numfor 4 0 0 4 1:23 -4
Promotion - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship (Relegation - Play Offs)