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RapalloBogliasco vs Acqui US

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between RapalloBogliasco and Acqui US finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RapalloBogliasco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
RapalloBogliasco
20%
Draws
40%
Acqui US
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • RapalloBogliasco carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on RapalloBogliasco taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
RapalloBogliasco Clean Sheet 20%
Acqui US Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RapalloBogliasco Acqui US
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2016 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Acqui US
5:0
Sep 27, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs RapalloBogliasco
2:2
Jan 11, 2015 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Acqui US
1:2
Sep 7, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Acqui US vs RapalloBogliasco
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RapalloBogliasco 85 / 100
Acqui US 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RapalloBogliasco Acqui US

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RapalloBogliasco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

RapalloBogliasco found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Acqui US conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Acqui US registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RapalloBogliasco VS Acqui US
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RapalloBogliasco

(Home)
08 May
RapalloBogliasco
0 : 3
Lavagnese
01 May
Fezzanese
3 : 2
RapalloBogliasco
24 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
17 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1
RapalloBogliasco
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1
Novese
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Acqui US

(Away)
08 May
Acqui US
0 : 4
Pinerolo
01 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Acqui US
24 Apr
Acqui US
1 : 0
Castellazzo
17 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Acqui US
10 Apr
Acqui US
0 : 0
OltrepoVoghera
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Bellinzago 38 27 5 6 74:31 86
2 Caronnese 38 24 10 4 74:23 82
3 Lavagnese 38 21 11 6 66:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 22 6 10 74:41 72
5 Argentina 38 18 12 8 48:25 66
6 Gozzano 38 18 9 11 66:38 63
7 Sestri Levante 38 16 13 9 40:25 61
8 Pinerolo 38 19 4 15 50:46 61
9 RapalloBogliasco 38 16 9 13 52:40 57
10 OltrepoVoghera 38 13 14 11 53:44 53
11 Derthona FbC 38 13 13 12 52:48 52
12 Bra 38 15 6 17 53:55 51
13 Borgosesia Calcio 38 12 11 15 40:46 47
14 Pro Settimo 38 11 10 17 36:45 43
15 Ligorna 38 10 10 18 45:73 40
16 Vado 38 10 10 18 43:61 40
17 Fezzanese 38 9 7 22 38:75 34
18 Acqui US 38 7 7 24 29:70 28
19 Castellazzo 38 5 7 26 29:73 22
20 Novese 38 5 4 29 26:99 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)