Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 game between RapalloBogliasco and Novese finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RapalloBogliasco.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RapalloBogliasco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Novese haven't matched RapalloBogliasco's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans RapalloBogliasco's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors RapalloBogliasco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
RapalloBogliasco Clean Sheet 68%
Novese Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RapalloBogliasco | Novese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 2.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.50 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2016 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Novese
6:1
Nov 22, 2015 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs RapalloBogliasco
0:1
Mar 22, 2015 Serie D - Group A
RapalloBogliasco vs Novese
3:0
Nov 8, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs RapalloBogliasco
1:1
Mar 2, 2014 Serie D - Group A
Novese vs RapalloBogliasco
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RapalloBogliasco 95 / 100
Novese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RapalloBogliasco Novese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RapalloBogliasco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Novese has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Novese lost 5 of their last 5 games.
RapalloBogliasco's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
RapalloBogliasco VS Novese
2 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
RapalloBogliasco
(Home) 08 May
RapalloBogliasco
0 : 3 Lavagnese
01 May
Fezzanese
3 : 2 RapalloBogliasco
24 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
1 : 2 Derthona FbC
17 Apr
Borgosesia Calcio
1 : 1 RapalloBogliasco
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1 Novese
Page 1 of 6
08 May
RapalloBogliasco
0 : 3 Lavagnese
24 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
1 : 2 Derthona FbC
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1 Novese
20 Mar
RapalloBogliasco
1 : 0 Caronnese
02 Mar
RapalloBogliasco
0 : 2 Pinerolo
Page 1 of 3
Novese
(Away) 08 May
Bra
6 : 0 Novese
01 May
Novese
0 : 5 Sporting Bellinzago
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0 Novese
17 Apr
Novese
0 : 7 Lavagnese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1 Novese
Page 1 of 6
08 May
Bra
6 : 0 Novese
24 Apr
Argentina
7 : 0 Novese
10 Apr
RapalloBogliasco
6 : 1 Novese
20 Mar
Derthona FbC
2 : 0 Novese
06 Mar
Caronnese
6 : 1 Novese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Bellinzago | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 74:31 | 86 |
| 2 | Caronnese | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 74:23 | 82 |
| 3 | Lavagnese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 66:30 | 74 |
| 4 | AC Chieri | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 74:41 | 72 |
| 5 | Argentina | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 48:25 | 66 |
| 6 | Gozzano | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 66:38 | 63 |
| 7 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 40:25 | 61 |
| 8 | Pinerolo | 38 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 50:46 | 61 |
| 9 | RapalloBogliasco | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 52:40 | 57 |
| 10 | OltrepoVoghera | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 53:44 | 53 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 12 | Bra | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 53:55 | 51 |
| 13 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:46 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Settimo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:45 | 43 |
| 15 | Ligorna | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 45:73 | 40 |
| 16 | Vado | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 43:61 | 40 |
| 17 | Fezzanese | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 38:75 | 34 |
| 18 | Acqui US | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 29:70 | 28 |
| 19 | Castellazzo | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 29:73 | 22 |
| 20 | Novese | 38 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 26:99 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)
