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Rapido de Bouzas vs Arzua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Semedo A.
72' Event
Ponce C.
90' Event
Pazos A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Rapido de Bouzas and Arzua finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rapido de Bouzas
15%
Draws
28%
Arzua
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapido de Bouzas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzua haven't matched Rapido de Bouzas's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Rapido de Bouzas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Rapido de Bouzas have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 68%
Arzua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapido de Bouzas Arzua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.17 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Arzua
1:2
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Arzua
3:2
Nov 20, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:4
Feb 13, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Rapido de Bouzas
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pazos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arzua Compare

Top Goalscorer Semedo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponce C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapido de Bouzas 95 / 100
Arzua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapido de Bouzas Arzua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapido de Bouzas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Rapido de Bouzas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Arzua has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rapido de Bouzas VS Arzua
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapido de Bouzas

(Home)
12 May
Rapido de Bouzas
5 : 1
Sarriana
05 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
01 May
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 0
Silva SD
27 Apr
Estradense
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
20 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
1 : 2
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

Arzua

(Away)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)