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Rapido de Bouzas vs Paiosaco

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Parafita R.
25'
Gonzalez X.
25'
Gonzalez X.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 game between Rapido de Bouzas and Paiosaco finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paiosaco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Rapido de Bouzas
15%
Draws
53%
Paiosaco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paiosaco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Rapido de Bouzas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rapido de Bouzas's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 68%
Paiosaco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapido de Bouzas Paiosaco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.17 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Paiosaco
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:1
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Paiosaco
1:0
Oct 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Paiosaco vs Rapido de Bouzas
0:1
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs Paiosaco
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Paiosaco Compare

Top Goalscorer Parafita R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pombo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapido de Bouzas 77 / 100
Paiosaco 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapido de Bouzas Paiosaco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapido de Bouzas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapido de Bouzas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Paiosaco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Rapido de Bouzas stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rapido de Bouzas VS Paiosaco
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapido de Bouzas

(Home)
12 May
Rapido de Bouzas
5 : 1
Sarriana
05 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
01 May
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 0
Silva SD
27 Apr
Estradense
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
20 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
1 : 2
Lugo B
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Paiosaco

(Away)
12 May
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Lugo B
05 May
UD Ourense
3 : 0
Paiosaco
01 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 0
Paiosaco
27 Apr
Paiosaco
1 : 0
Pontevedra B
21 Apr
Arzua
1 : 2
Paiosaco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)