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Stadium Background

Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Fernandez A.
56' Event
Perez C.
90' Event
Diz D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rapido de Bouzas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rapido de Bouzas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Rapido de Bouzas
40%
Draws
29%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Rapido de Bouzas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 16%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapido de Bouzas UD Ourense
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense
0:0
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:1
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapido de Bouzas 31 / 100
UD Ourense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapido de Bouzas UD Ourense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapido de Bouzas's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

UD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Rapido de Bouzas has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Ourense
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bergantinos342110349:1973
2Gran Pena341516348:3061
3Arosa SC341513639:2358
4UD Ourense341510947:3455
5Sarriana341481243:3550
6Atletico Arteixo341114946:3947
7Somozas341291343:3945
8Estradense3411121131:3245
9Barbadas-Bentraces3410141033:3444
10Viveiro341281439:4244
11Alondras3410141037:3644
12Silva SD3411101335:3543
13Lugo B3411101332:3443
14Betanzos CF3410131135:3143
15Rapido de Bouzas341191438:4042
16Paiosaco3410111330:4241
17Pontevedra B34752227:6526
18Arzua34462424:6618