Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Fernandez A.
56' Event
Perez C.
90' Event
Diz D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Rapido de Bouzas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rapido de Bouzas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Rapido de Bouzas
15%
Draws
12%
UD Ourense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rapido de Bouzas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UD Ourense lately — more wins on the board than Rapido de Bouzas.
  • Model gives Rapido de Bouzas a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Rapido de Bouzas Clean Sheet 68%
UD Ourense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapido de Bouzas UD Ourense
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense
2:1
Oct 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:0
Jan 14, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense
0:0
Sep 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
UD Ourense vs Rapido de Bouzas
1:1
Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Rapido de Bouzas vs UD Ourense
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rapido de Bouzas Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

UD Ourense Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapido de Bouzas 95 / 100
UD Ourense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapido de Bouzas UD Ourense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rapido de Bouzas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rapido de Bouzas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

UD Ourense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 36 matches.

UD Ourense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS UD Ourense
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapido de Bouzas

(Home)
12 May
Rapido de Bouzas
5 : 1
Sarriana
05 May
Betanzos CF
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
01 May
Rapido de Bouzas
2 : 0
Silva SD
27 Apr
Estradense
1 : 0
Rapido de Bouzas
20 Apr
Rapido de Bouzas
1 : 2
Lugo B
Page 1 of 6

UD Ourense

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 0
Cacereno
19 Sept
Unionistas de Salamanca
3 : 1
UD Ourense
12 Sept
UD Ourense
0 : 3
UD Logrones
05 Sept
Mirandes
2 : 0
UD Ourense
29 Aug
UD Ourense
0 : 1
Ponferradina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)