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Rapla vs Kotkad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Estonian Cup 2009/2010
Fri, Jul 17, 2009
0 - 1
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Kotkad advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Rapla
15%
Draws
57%
Kotkad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kotkad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rapla come out ahead of Kotkad on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kotkad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Rapla have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kotkad, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Rapla Clean Sheet 10%
Kotkad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rapla Kotkad
Matches Played 12 5
Wins 4 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.92 1.2
Goals Conceded 5.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2009 Estonian Cup
Rapla vs Kotkad
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rapla 10 / 100
Kotkad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rapla Kotkad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kotkad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kotkad let in goals in 80% of their last 5 matches.

Kotkad's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rapla scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Rapla VS Kotkad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.2
4.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 40%
75% Over 2.5 40%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Rapla

(Home)
30 Jun
Rapla
2 : 6
Metropool Parnu
06 Jul
FC Tartu
8 : 1
Rapla
17 Jul
Raasiku Joker
9 : 0
Rapla
12 Jun
Rapla
6 : 0
Donkers
04 Sept
Levadia
17 : 1
Rapla
Page 1 of 3

Kotkad

(Away)
04 Aug
Kotkad
0 : 1
JK Luunja
20 Jul
Keila JK
2 : 5
Kotkad
25 Aug
Kalju
6 : 0
Kotkad
17 Jul
Rapla
0 : 1
Kotkad
06 Aug
Kotkad
0 : 1
Flora

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Flora 4
Kuressaare 0
Tallinna Kalev 1
Kalju 3
Valga Warrior 1
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Nomme Utd 0
Tammeka Tartu 4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Voru 2
Ganvix Turi 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Tallinn Piraaja 0
Narva 0
Levadia 3
Quarter-finals
Flora 2
Kalju 0
Valga Warrior 1
Tammeka Tartu 4
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 5
Ganvix Turi 0
Sillamae Kalev 0
Levadia 1
Semi-finals
Flora 4
Tammeka Tartu 1
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Levadia 2
Final
Flora 0
Levadia 3