Sport Picks

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Raplamaa vs Legion U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legion U21 in this Esiliiga B 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Raplamaa
15%
Draws
85%
Legion U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legion U21 lately — more wins on the board than Raplamaa.
  • Model gives Legion U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Legion U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%
Legion U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raplamaa Legion U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 14
Draws 0 2
Losses 28 13
Goals Scored 0.8 2.28
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2022 Esiliiga B
Legion U21 vs Raplamaa
4:0
Aug 12, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Legion U21
4:5
Jun 18, 2022 Esiliiga B
Legion U21 vs Raplamaa
4:1
Apr 17, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Legion U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raplamaa 10 / 100
Legion U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raplamaa Legion U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Legion U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Raplamaa scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Legion U21's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Raplamaa VS Legion U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Raplamaa

(Home)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
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Legion U21

(Away)
18 Feb
Legion U21
1 : 2
Tabasalu
04 Feb
Tartu Kalev
2 : 1
Legion U21
20 Nov
Legion U21
2 : 1
Flora U19
16 Nov
Flora U19
0 : 3
Legion U21
13 Nov
Kalju U21
0 : 1
Legion U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tallinn 36 24 9 3 117:38 81
2 Tabasalu 36 25 4 7 120:50 79
3 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 20 8 8 88:48 68
4 Tartu JK Welco 36 17 10 9 68:47 61
5 Tammeka Tartu II 36 16 8 12 70:59 56
6 Legion U21 36 13 4 19 60:86 43
7 Tartu Kalev 36 11 7 18 55:81 40
8 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 10 7 19 49:84 37
9 Kalju U21 36 10 4 22 54:100 34
10 Raplamaa 36 2 3 31 33:121 9
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2022 (Relegation)