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Raplamaa vs Tabasalu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu in this Esiliiga B 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Raplamaa
20%
Draws
80%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Tabasalu have won more games recently than Raplamaa.
  • Win probability leans Tabasalu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 93%).
  • Tabasalu have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 93%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Raplamaa Clean Sheet 10%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raplamaa Tabasalu
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 2 20
Draws 0 3
Losses 28 18
Goals Scored 0.8 2.15
Goals Conceded 3.87 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Raplamaa
7:1
Sep 4, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tabasalu
1:5
Jun 30, 2022 Esiliiga B
Raplamaa vs Tabasalu
0:2
Mar 6, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Raplamaa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raplamaa 10 / 100
Tabasalu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raplamaa Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu has conceded goals in 83% of their last 41 outings.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Tabasalu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Raplamaa scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Raplamaa VS Tabasalu
0 Goals Scored 1.75
12 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Raplamaa

(Home)
23 Jul
Nomme Utd
12 : 0
Raplamaa
18 Jun
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Saku Sporting
12 Jun
Legion
3 : 1
Raplamaa
29 Jul
Raplamaa
1 : 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu
13 Nov
Raplamaa
0 : 3
Tartu JK Welco
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Tabasalu

(Away)
24 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
6 : 0
Tabasalu
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
09 Aug
Levadia U19
3 : 0
Tabasalu
01 Aug
Tartu Kalev
3 : 1
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Tallinn 36 24 9 3 117:38 81
2 Tabasalu 36 25 4 7 120:50 79
3 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 20 8 8 88:48 68
4 Tartu JK Welco 36 17 10 9 68:47 61
5 Tammeka Tartu II 36 16 8 12 70:59 56
6 Legion U21 36 13 4 19 60:86 43
7 Tartu Kalev 36 11 7 18 55:81 40
8 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 10 7 19 49:84 37
9 Kalju U21 36 10 4 22 54:100 34
10 Raplamaa 36 2 3 31 33:121 9
Promotion - Esiliiga 2023 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2022 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2022 (Relegation)