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Ratchaburi vs Prachuap

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 Dragon Solar Park, Ratchaburi
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Match Events

17'
Kanyaroj S.
34' Event
Kanyaroj S.
Assist: Praphanth P.
42'
Sub
Rakotoharimalala N. In: Deni Junior
Out: Rakotoharimalala N.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Ratchaburi and Prachuap finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ratchaburi
15%
Draws
48%
Prachuap
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prachuap

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ratchaburi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ratchaburi a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Prachuap Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ratchaburi Prachuap
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Prachuap
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Ratchaburi
1:0
Mar 28, 2025 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Prachuap
3:2
Nov 9, 2024 Thai League 1
Prachuap vs Ratchaburi
3:2
May 26, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Prachuap
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Deni Junior
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Prachuap Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanyaroj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ratchaburi 85 / 100
Prachuap 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ratchaburi Prachuap

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ratchaburi found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ratchaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Prachuap let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ratchaburi VS Prachuap
3.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ratchaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
06 Sept
Ayutthaya United
2 : 1
Ratchaburi
29 Aug
Ratchaburi
5 : 0
Bangkok FC
Page 1 of 7

Prachuap

(Away)
19 Sept
Pattani
0 : 3
Prachuap
13 Sept
Prachuap
1 : 0
Sukhothai
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
31 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 0
Prachuap
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buriram United F.C. 30 22 4 4 76:31 70
2 Port MTI FC 30 18 6 6 59:23 60
3 Ratchaburi 30 18 5 7 55:30 59
4 Pathum United 30 14 10 6 45:29 52
5 Bangkok Utd 30 13 11 6 43:32 50
6 Prachuap 30 11 12 7 39:37 45
7 Chiangrai Utd 30 9 13 8 36:37 40
8 Chonburi 30 10 9 11 38:41 39
9 Rayong FC 30 9 10 11 44:49 37
10 Ayutthaya United 30 8 8 14 34:50 32
11 Uthai Thani 30 7 10 13 39:44 31
12 Lamphun Warrior 30 4 17 9 35:47 29
13 Sukhothai 30 6 10 14 23:42 28
14 Muang Thong Utd 30 6 8 16 27:52 26
15 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 30 6 6 18 20:44 24
16 Kanchanaburi 30 4 11 15 29:54 23
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)