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Rathfriland Rangers vs Islandmagee - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Sat, Nov 19, 2011
2 - 1
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rathfriland Rangers in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Rathfriland Rangers
15%
Draws
28%
Islandmagee
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rathfriland Rangers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Islandmagee have won more games recently than Rathfriland Rangers.
  • Model gives Rathfriland Rangers a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Islandmagee arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rathfriland Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 97%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 97%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Rathfriland Rangers Clean Sheet 14%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rathfriland Rangers Islandmagee
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.79 2.66
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2011 Irish Cup
Rathfriland Rangers vs Islandmagee
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rathfriland Rangers 84 / 100
Islandmagee 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rathfriland Rangers Islandmagee

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfriland Rangers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rathfriland Rangers scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Islandmagee has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rathfriland Rangers VS Islandmagee
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Rathfriland Rangers

(Home)
03 Oct
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Rathfriland Rangers
25 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Warrenpoint
19 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
1 : 0
Queens University
12 Sept
Ards
1 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 6

Islandmagee

(Away)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4