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Raufoss 2 vs Moelven

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 3 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 3 2014 game between Raufoss 2 and Moelven finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Raufoss 2
15%
Draws
42%
Moelven
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raufoss 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Raufoss 2 come out ahead of Moelven on wins alone.
  • Moelven are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 3 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Raufoss 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Moelven Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raufoss 2 Moelven
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 5 5
Losses 25 18
Goals Scored 1.54 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.73 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Moelven vs Raufoss 2
2:3
May 26, 2015 Division 3 - Group 9
Raufoss 2 vs Moelven
1:2
Aug 11, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Raufoss 2 vs Moelven
2:2
Apr 28, 2014 Division 3 - Group 3
Moelven vs Raufoss 2
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raufoss 2 10 / 100
Moelven 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raufoss 2 Moelven

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moelven Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moelven let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Raufoss 2 scored in 61% of their last 41 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Moelven has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Raufoss 2 VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
4.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Raufoss 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Ham-Kam 2
8 : 0
Raufoss 2
22 Oct
Raufoss 2
0 : 7
Honefoss
14 Oct
Funnefoss/Vormsund
6 : 0
Raufoss 2
08 Oct
Raufoss 2
2 : 1
Spjelkavik
02 Oct
Elverum
3 : 0
Raufoss 2
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Moelven

(Away)
24 Oct
Moelven
1 : 0
Buvik
17 Oct
Gjovik-Lyn 2
5 : 2
Moelven
10 Oct
Moelven
1 : 3
Flisa
03 Oct
Tynset
3 : 0
Moelven
26 Sept
Moelven
2 : 4
FK Kvik
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