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Raufoss vs Moss - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

OBOS-ligaen NAMMO Stadion, Raufoss
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Raufoss host Moss in the OBOS-ligaen. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Raufoss at 1.55 goals for, 2.26 against; Moss at 1.5 for, 2.1 against. Head-to-head, Raufoss have won 3 to Moss's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.06, favoring Raufoss. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Raufoss
15%
Draws
42%
Moss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Raufoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Raufoss lately — more wins on the board than Moss.
  • Raufoss are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular OBOS-ligaen form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Raufoss Clean Sheet 10%
Moss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Raufoss Moss
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.55 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.26 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Raufoss
1:2
Feb 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Raufoss vs Moss
3:3
Nov 8, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Moss vs Raufoss
1:1
Apr 1, 2025 OBOS-ligaen
Raufoss vs Moss
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Moss vs Raufoss
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Raufoss 47 / 100
Moss 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Raufoss Moss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Raufoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moss let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Raufoss found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Moss's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Raufoss VS Moss
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Raufoss

(Home)
06 Oct
Raufoss
1 : 5
Start
20 Sept
Raufoss
0 : 2
Stromsgodset
16 Sept
Elverum
0 : 3
Raufoss
13 Sept
Raufoss
2 : 1
Odds BK
05 Sept
Kongsvinger
9 : 1
Raufoss
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Moss

(Away)
05 Oct
Moss
0 : 2
Kongsvinger
23 Sept
Grorud
2 : 1
Moss
20 Sept
Sandnes Ulf
1 : 2
Moss
13 Sept
Moss
1 : 4
Haugesund
05 Sept
Stabaek
2 : 3
Moss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haugesund 24 18 1 5 74:39 55
2 Kongsvinger 24 16 5 3 70:35 53
3 Stromsgodset 24 15 6 3 61:31 51
4 Stabaek 24 14 3 7 57:31 45
5 Odds BK 24 11 6 7 50:38 39
6 Bryne 24 12 2 10 33:31 38
7 Hodd 24 10 4 10 40:48 34
8 Ranheim 24 9 4 11 61:58 31
9 Egersund 24 8 5 11 36:49 29
10 Lyn 24 8 4 12 39:49 28
11 Strommen 24 7 5 12 38:55 26
12 Sandnes Ulf 24 7 4 13 35:45 25
13 Moss 24 7 4 13 38:54 25
14 Sogndal 23 6 5 12 38:53 23
15 Asane 24 5 5 14 34:53 19
16 Raufoss 23 6 1 16 26:61 19
Promotion - Eliteserien 2027 (Main)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - OBOS-ligaen (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen (Relegation)