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Stadium Background

Ravan vs Mingachevir

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mingachevir in this First Division 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mingachevir.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ravan
15%
Draws
85%
Mingachevir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Mingachevir have won more games recently than Ravan.
  • Model gives Mingachevir a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ravan Clean Sheet 20%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravan Mingachevir
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 7 18
Draws 2 14
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 I Liqa
Ravan vs Mingachevir
0:3
Nov 4, 2016 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Ravan
1:0
Mar 27, 2015 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Ravan
0:3
Nov 14, 2014 I Liqa
Ravan vs Mingachevir
3:1
Apr 30, 2011 I Liqa
Ravan vs Mingachevir
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravan 10 / 100
Mingachevir 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravan Mingachevir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mingachevir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mingachevir has conceded goals in 66% of their last 44 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Mingachevir lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ravan scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mingachevir
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravan

(Home)
27 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Sahdag Qusar
21 Apr
Sharurspor
0 : 0
Ravan
13 Apr
Ravan
0 : 3
Agsu (Inactive)
09 Apr
Sabail
3 : 0
Ravan
26 Mar
Ravan
0 : 3
Mingachevir
Page 1 of 6

Mingachevir

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turan 26 18 7 1 62:11 61
2 Sabail 26 18 3 5 80:25 57
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 16 5 5 63:21 53
4 Lokbatan 26 17 1 8 64:31 52
5 Zaqatala PFK 26 15 4 7 69:31 49
6 Shamkir 26 15 3 8 41:20 48
7 Imisli FK 26 13 5 8 53:33 44
8 MOIK Baku 26 10 6 10 47:31 36
9 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 36:45 30
10 Sharurspor 26 7 4 15 36:51 25
11 Mingachevir 26 5 5 16 25:86 20
12 Bakili Baku 26 3 2 21 30:99 11
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 2 4 20 20:99 10
14 Ravan 26 6 1 19 24:67 10
Promotion - Premier League 2017/2018 (Main)