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Ravenna vs Carpi

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli, Ravenna
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Corsinelli F.
46'
Sub
Rosetti M. In: Tcheuna R.
Out: Rosetti M.
64'
Sub
Cecotti T. In: Verza N.
Out: Cecotti T.

AI Match Summary

Ravenna in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ravenna
20%
Draws
60%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ravenna lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 23%
Carpi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Carpi
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.08 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Carpi
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Ravenna
1:2
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Carpi vs Ravenna
1:0
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Carpi
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Carpi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Corsinelli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Carpi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 33 / 100
Carpi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carpi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Carpi conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

Ravenna scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Difficult form: Carpi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS Carpi
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
09 Aug
Benevento
5 : 3
Ravenna
20 May
Ravenna
0 : 2
Salernitana
17 May
Salernitana
2 : 0
Ravenna
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
10 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Ravenna
Page 1 of 6

Carpi

(Away)
21 Aug
Union Brescia
3 : 1
Carpi
15 Aug
Carpi
3 : 2
Pianese
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)