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Ravenna vs Certaldo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Rrapaj P.
70' Event
Rrapaj P.
87' Event
Diallo C.

AI Match Summary

Ravenna in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Ravenna
20%
Draws
19%
Certaldo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ravenna have won more games recently than Certaldo.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Ravenna taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 20%
Certaldo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Certaldo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1.33 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Certaldo
3:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Certaldo vs Ravenna
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Rrapaj P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Diallo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Certaldo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 85 / 100
Certaldo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Certaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravenna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ravenna's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Certaldo conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
Page 1 of 6

Certaldo

(Away)
05 May
Carpi
5 : 1
Certaldo
28 Apr
Certaldo
3 : 2
Aglianese Calcio
21 Apr
Ravenna
3 : 0
Certaldo
14 Apr
Certaldo
1 : 6
Corticella
07 Apr
Victor San Marino
1 : 1
Certaldo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)