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Ravenna vs Perugia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Bruno Benelli, Ravenna
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Carriero G.
45'
Kabashi E.
45'
Canotto L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Ravenna and Perugia finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ravenna
15%
Draws
28%
Perugia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Perugia haven't matched Ravenna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ravenna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%
Perugia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna Perugia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Perugia
3:0
Jan 30, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Ravenna
1:1
Sep 19, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Perugia
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Ravenna vs Perugia
0:3
Dec 23, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Perugia vs Ravenna
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Rabbi S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tenkorang J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Perugia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 95 / 100
Perugia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna Perugia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Perugia has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Ravenna's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ravenna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS Perugia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
04 Oct
Pianese
2 : 1
Ravenna
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
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Perugia

(Away)
03 Oct
Gubbio
1 : 3
Perugia
27 Sept
Perugia
1 : 0
Reggiana
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0
Perugia
16 Sept
Perugia
0 : 3
Spezia
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 8 7 1 0 15:4 22
2 Ravenna 8 5 2 1 13:4 17
3 Grosseto 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Reggiana 8 4 2 2 12:7 14
5 Livorno 8 4 2 2 10:9 14
6 Perugia 8 4 1 3 9:12 13
7 Guidonia 1937 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
8 Campobasso 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
9 Sassari Torres 8 3 3 2 9:9 12
10 Pescara 8 3 2 3 10:11 11
11 Forli FC 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
12 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
13 Ostiamare 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
14 Vado 8 2 2 4 6:8 8
15 Pineto 8 1 4 3 6:11 7
16 Gubbio 8 2 1 5 10:16 7
17 Latina 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
18 Pianese 8 1 3 4 6:10 6
19 Sambenedettese 8 1 2 5 11:14 5
20 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)