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Ravenna vs San Donnino

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Sabbatani A.
45' Event
Tirelli M.
56' Event
Tirelli M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 game between Ravenna and San Donnino finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ravenna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ravenna
30%
Draws
19%
San Donnino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • San Donnino haven't matched Ravenna's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Ravenna taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ravenna here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%
San Donnino Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ravenna San Donnino
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 10 10
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.49 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Ravenna
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs San Donnino
4:0
May 15, 2022 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs San Donnino
2:0
Dec 22, 2021 Serie D - Group D
San Donnino vs Ravenna
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ravenna Compare

Top Goalscorer Tirelli M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sabbatani A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

San Donnino Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ravenna 95 / 100
San Donnino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ravenna San Donnino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ravenna found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

San Donnino has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Ravenna went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ravenna VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ravenna

(Home)
27 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 0
Gubbio
20 Sept
Atalanta U23
0 : 2
Ravenna
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
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San Donnino

(Away)
05 May
Victor San Marino
3 : 2
San Donnino
28 Apr
San Donnino
0 : 2
Ravenna
21 Apr
Corticella
2 : 2
San Donnino
14 Apr
San Donnino
1 : 1
Sant'Angelo
07 Apr
Lentigione
2 : 3
San Donnino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)