Sport Picks
Rayo Cantabria vs Atletico Astorga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mascaro P.
24'
24'
El Battioui A.
66'
66'
Mascaro P.
AI Match Summary
Rayo Cantabria in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Cantabria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Astorga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rayo Cantabria lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Astorga.
- Model gives Atletico Astorga a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Cantabria | Atletico Astorga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Atletico Astorga
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Rayo Cantabria
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Cantabria Compare
Top Goalscorer Mascaro P.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Atletico Astorga Compare
Top Goalscorer El Battioui A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ribeiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Cantabria 24 / 100
Atletico Astorga 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Cantabria Atletico Astorga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Astorga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Cantabria's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Atletico Astorga has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Atletico Astorga's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Cantabria VS Atletico Astorga
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Cantabria
(Home) 03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5 Eibar B
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1 Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2 Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1 Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5 Eibar B
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2 Amorebieta
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1 Sestao
29 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1 Eibar B
22 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 1 Sestao
Page 1 of 3
Atletico Astorga
(Away) 03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0 Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Portugalete
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
15 Aug
La Baneza
2 : 0 Atletico Astorga
03 May
UD Ourense
1 : 1 Atletico Astorga
12 Apr
Rayo Cantabria
3 : 2 Atletico Astorga
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Fabril | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 59:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Real Oviedo B | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 50:35 | 58 |
| 3 | Numancia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:31 | 56 |
| 4 | UD Ourense | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40:34 | 55 |
| 5 | Coruxo FC | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 46:37 | 52 |
| 6 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37:36 | 51 |
| 7 | Real Avila | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 48:52 | 50 |
| 8 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:36 | 50 |
| 9 | Rayo Cantabria | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 63:50 | 48 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 12 | Marino De Luanco | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 31:26 | 45 |
| 13 | Valladolid Promesas | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 59:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Langreo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35:41 | 43 |
| 15 | Sarriana | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:42 | 40 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:55 | 36 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 31:54 | 28 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23:87 | 15 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
