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Rayo Cantabria vs Basconia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayo Cantabria host Basconia in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This one's hard to separate. Basconia have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while Rayo Cantabria have conceded 1.63 and scored 2. Head-to-head, Rayo Cantabria have won 0 to Basconia's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (1.63 - 1.44) back Basconia to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Rayo Cantabria
30%
Draws
62%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Rayo Cantabria average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Basconia's 1.93.
  • Win probability leans Basconia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 16%
Basconia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Cantabria Basconia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 2 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Rayo Cantabria vs Basconia
3:3
Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Rayo Cantabria vs Basconia
1:1
Aug 11, 2021 Club Friendly
Rayo Cantabria vs Basconia
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 11 / 100
Basconia 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Cantabria Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basconia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Cantabria scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Basconia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Rayo Cantabria remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Basconia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Cantabria

(Home)
03 Oct
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 5
Eibar B
27 Sept
Llanera
2 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

Basconia

(Away)
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)