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Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ramos Alvarez R.
36' Event
Santamaria A.
67' Event
Fuentevilla D.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Cantabria in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Cantabria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Rayo Cantabria
20%
Draws
40%
Real Aviles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rayo Cantabria lately — more wins on the board than Real Aviles.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Rayo Cantabria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Rayo Cantabria Clean Sheet 17%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Cantabria Real Aviles
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.1 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles
4:1
Dec 7, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Rayo Cantabria
2:2
Mar 31, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Rayo Cantabria vs Real Aviles
2:1
Nov 19, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Rayo Cantabria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Cantabria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramos Alvarez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuentevilla D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Aviles Compare

Top Goalscorer Santamaria A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Cantabria 31 / 100
Real Aviles 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Cantabria Real Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Cantabria scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Real Aviles has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Rayo Cantabria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Cantabria VS Real Aviles
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Cantabria

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 2
Amorebieta
13 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1
Rayo Cantabria
06 Sept
Rayo Cantabria
0 : 1
Sestao
29 Aug
Rayo Cantabria
2 : 1
Eibar B
27 Aug
CD Laredo
0 : 2
Rayo Cantabria
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Real Aviles

(Away)
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1
Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Real Aviles
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1
Pontevedra
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2
Gijon B
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