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Rayo Ibense vs Benidorm

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Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Carrasco C.
48' Event
Gimenez R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 game between Rayo Ibense and Benidorm finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Ibense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Rayo Ibense
30%
Draws
62%
Benidorm
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benidorm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Rayo Ibense haven't matched Benidorm's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Benidorm's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Rayo Ibense Clean Sheet 16%
Benidorm Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Ibense Benidorm
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Benidorm vs Rayo Ibense
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Rayo Ibense vs Benidorm
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Ibense Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrasco C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimenez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Benidorm Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Ibense 28 / 100
Benidorm 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Ibense Benidorm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benidorm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Benidorm conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Rayo Ibense's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Rayo Ibense remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Ibense VS Benidorm
0 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Ibense

(Home)
01 Aug
Rayo Ibense
0 : 2
Alcoyano
08 May
Rayo Ibense
0 : 0
Levante B
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Rayo Ibense
0 : 1
Roda
17 Apr
Villarreal C
2 : 0
Rayo Ibense
Page 1 of 6

Benidorm

(Away)
11 May
La Nucia
0 : 1
Benidorm
04 May
Benidorm
1 : 0
Rayo Ibense
27 Apr
Soneja
2 : 2
Benidorm
20 Apr
Benidorm
1 : 5
Castellon B
13 Apr
Torrellano
1 : 1
Benidorm
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Castellon B 34 18 4 12 76:58 58
2 Roda 34 15 12 7 52:32 57
3 La Nucia 34 15 11 8 46:24 56
4 Castellonense 34 15 11 8 38:30 56
5 Utiel 34 14 12 8 38:31 54
6 Villarreal C 34 12 14 8 55:37 50
7 Atzeneta 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Vall de Uxo 34 13 10 11 37:36 49
9 Soneja 34 11 14 9 36:34 47
10 Atletico Saguntino 34 10 16 8 41:36 46
11 Ontinyent 1931 CF 34 11 12 11 34:35 45
12 Levante B 34 13 5 16 34:39 44
13 Espanol de San Vicente 34 12 7 15 36:46 43
14 Crevillente 34 10 11 13 34:44 41
15 Torrellano 34 8 15 11 35:39 39
16 Benidorm 34 9 11 14 36:51 38
17 Patacona 34 5 12 17 35:59 27
18 Rayo Ibense 34 6 5 23 23:57 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 2024/2025 (Play Offs)