Sport Picks
Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda 
Match Events
33'
33'
Abreu M.
83'
83'
Faure I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Rayo Majadahonda and Colonia Moscardo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colonia Moscardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rayo Majadahonda carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 20%
Colonia Moscardo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Colonia Moscardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.47 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.87 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:0
Feb 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Colonia Moscardo vs Rayo Majadahonda
1:4
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo
1:2
Mar 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Majadahonda vs Colonia Moscardo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Majadahonda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.43
Colonia Moscardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Abreu M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Majadahonda 32 / 100
Colonia Moscardo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Majadahonda Colonia Moscardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colonia Moscardo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Majadahonda scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Colonia Moscardo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Rayo Majadahonda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Majadahonda VS Colonia Moscardo
0.88 Goals Scored 1.29
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Majadahonda
(Home) 27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
29 Aug
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 Villarreal B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
29 Aug
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 Villarreal B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 3
Colonia Moscardo
(Away) 27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
20 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
5 : 1 Siello
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0 AD Torrejon
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
2 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
13 Sept
Union Adarve
1 : 1 Colonia Moscardo
03 May
CF Intercity
2 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
14 Apr
Real Madrid C
1 : 0 Colonia Moscardo
05 Apr
Getafe B
0 : 2 Colonia Moscardo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
