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Rayo Majadahonda vs Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayo Majadahonda host Murcia in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Murcia have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Rayo Majadahonda have conceded 1 and scored 1.38. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.13 - 1.69) back Murcia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Rayo Majadahonda
15%
Draws
59%
Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Rayo Majadahonda.
  • Win probability leans Murcia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 13%
Murcia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Murcia
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.45
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Majadahonda 27 / 100
Murcia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Majadahonda Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Rayo Majadahonda scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Murcia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Rayo Majadahonda has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Murcia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Majadahonda VS Murcia
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Majadahonda

(Home)
04 Oct
Algeciras
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 6

Murcia

(Away)
04 Oct
Murcia
2 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
30 Sept
Navalcarnero
3 : 1
Murcia
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1
CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 5 4 0 1 10:6 12
5 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
7 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
8 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
9 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
10 FC Cartagena SAD 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)