Sport Picks
Rayo Majadahonda vs Quintanar del Rey
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda 
Match Events
28'
28'
Calcada G.
90'
90'
Prats P.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Rayo Majadahonda and Quintanar del Rey finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Majadahonda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Quintanar del Rey
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Rayo Majadahonda come out ahead of Quintanar del Rey on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Majadahonda | Quintanar del Rey |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.16 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Quintanar del Rey
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Quintanar del Rey vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Majadahonda Compare
Top Goalscorer Calcada G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Prats P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.58
Quintanar del Rey Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Majadahonda 41 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Majadahonda Quintanar del Rey
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Rayo Majadahonda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Majadahonda scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Quintanar del Rey's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Rayo Majadahonda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Majadahonda VS Quintanar del Rey
0.88 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 43%
13% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Majadahonda
(Home) 27 Sept
CE Europa
1 : 0 Rayo Majadahonda
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
05 Sept
UD Ibiza
2 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
29 Aug
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 Villarreal B
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Teruel
12 Sept
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD
29 Aug
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 Villarreal B
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0 Rayo Vallecano B
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 3
Quintanar del Rey
(Away) 27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2 Illescas
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
06 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 4 Toledo
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Torrijos
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
13 Sept
Villarrobledo
1 : 1 Quintanar del Rey
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3 Quintanar del Rey
19 Apr
CF Intercity
1 : 2 Quintanar del Rey
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0 Quintanar del Rey
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 52:23 | 70 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 51:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Conquense | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 42:30 | 60 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 55:35 | 57 |
| 5 | CD Coria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 50:38 | 57 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 42:39 | 51 |
| 7 | Tenerife B | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 57:53 | 50 |
| 8 | Orihuela | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 45:43 | 46 |
| 9 | CF Intercity | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42:45 | 43 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:42 | 43 |
| 11 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 51:56 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Madrid C | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 42:45 | 40 |
| 14 | Quintanar del Rey | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36:43 | 39 |
| 15 | CF Fuenlabrada | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 16 | Colonia Moscardo | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:57 | 34 |
| 17 | Socuellamos | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 34:55 | 31 |
| 18 | Rayo Vallecano B | 34 | 9 | 3 | 22 | 30:63 | 30 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
