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Rayo Majadahonda vs Quintanar del Rey

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Estadio Cerro del Espino, Majadahonda
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Calcada G.
90' Event
Prats P.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Rayo Majadahonda and Quintanar del Rey finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Majadahonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Rayo Majadahonda
28%
Draws
22%
Quintanar del Rey
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rayo Majadahonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rayo Majadahonda come out ahead of Quintanar del Rey on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rayo Majadahonda a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%
Quintanar del Rey Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Majadahonda Quintanar del Rey
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Rayo Majadahonda vs Quintanar del Rey
2:0
Nov 2, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Quintanar del Rey vs Rayo Majadahonda
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Calcada G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prats P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Quintanar del Rey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Majadahonda 59 / 100
Quintanar del Rey 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Majadahonda Quintanar del Rey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Majadahonda scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Rayo Majadahonda stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Quintanar del Rey let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Majadahonda VS Quintanar del Rey
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Majadahonda

(Home)
03 May
Rayo Majadahonda
3 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
26 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
05 Apr
Navalcarnero
2 : 3
Rayo Majadahonda
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Quintanar del Rey

(Away)
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0
RSD Alcala
19 Apr
CF Intercity
1 : 2
Quintanar del Rey
12 Apr
Rayo Majadahonda
2 : 0
Quintanar del Rey
05 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
1 : 0
CF Fuenlabrada
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:2370
2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:2770
3Conquense341612642:3060
4Getafe B34169955:3557
5CD Coria34169950:3857
6RSD Alcala341491142:3951
7Tenerife B341551457:5350
8Orihuela3412101245:4346
9CF Intercity3411101342:4543
10Navalcarnero3411101340:4243
11Las Palmas B341191442:4542
12Ilicitano3410111351:5641
13Real Madrid C341171642:4540
14Quintanar del Rey341161736:4339
15CF Fuenlabrada349101535:4437
16Colonia Moscardo34971837:5734
17Socuellamos347101734:5531
18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:6330
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)