Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rayo Vallecano B vs Cala Pozuelo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Ballesteros M.
34' Event
Gonzalez J.
40' Event
So Lora A. A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 game between Rayo Vallecano B and Cala Pozuelo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cala Pozuelo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Rayo Vallecano B
15%
Draws
68%
Cala Pozuelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cala Pozuelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cala Pozuelo come out ahead of Rayo Vallecano B on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cala Pozuelo a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cala Pozuelo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Cala Pozuelo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano B Cala Pozuelo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.82 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Cala Pozuelo
2:3
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Cala Pozuelo
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Cala Pozuelo vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballesteros M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Becerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cala Pozuelo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader So Lora A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.06

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
Cala Pozuelo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano B Cala Pozuelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cala Pozuelo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cala Pozuelo let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Rayo Vallecano B's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rayo Vallecano B stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano B VS Cala Pozuelo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.43
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano B

(Home)
11 Oct
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
Page 1 of 6

Cala Pozuelo

(Away)
10 Oct
Cala Pozuelo
2 : 1
RC Alcobendas
04 Oct
Galapagar
1 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
20 Sept
CD Mostoles
1 : 0
Cala Pozuelo
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Las Rozas 6 4 1 1 15:8 13
2 Colonia Moscardo 6 3 3 0 15:6 12
3 Cala Pozuelo 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
4 Galapagar 6 3 2 1 13:10 11
5 Trival Valderas 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 CD Mostoles 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
7 CF Fuenlabrada 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 Union Adarve 6 2 3 1 8:9 9
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 6 2 3 1 11:13 9
10 RC Alcobendas 6 2 2 2 12:11 8
11 Leganes B 6 2 1 3 11:9 7
12 AD Torrejon 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
13 CP Parla Escuela 6 1 3 2 9:10 6
14 Mexico 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
15 Real Aranjuez 6 1 2 3 10:14 5
16 Rayo Vallecano B 6 1 1 4 7:13 4
17 Siello 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
18 San Sebastian Reyes B 6 1 0 5 9:17 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)