Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010

CD Arganda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano B play CD Arganda in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Rayo Vallecano B averaged 0.84 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. CD Arganda averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Rayo Vallecano B won 1, CD Arganda won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2010 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Rayo Vallecano B and 1.38 for CD Arganda. This points to a Rayo Vallecano B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Rayo Vallecano B

23%

Draws

36%

CD Arganda

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Rayo Vallecano B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Rayo Vallecano B picked up more points recently compared to CD Arganda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 17%

CD Arganda Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Rayo Vallecano B	CD Arganda
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	8	6
Draws	4	10
Losses	20	14
Goals Scored	0.84	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.72	1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

CD Arganda vs Rayo Vallecano B

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 0 - 4

2:2

Jan 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 7

Rayo Vallecano B vs CD Arganda

Possession: 58% - 57% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano B 40 / 100

CD Arganda 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Rayo Vallecano B CD Arganda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rayo Vallecano B or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Rayo Vallecano B attacking → ← attacking CD Arganda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano B scored in 47% of their last 32 games.

CD Arganda let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Rayo Vallecano B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CD Arganda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 28

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Vallecano B	38	25	10	3	68:23	85
2	Parla	38	21	11	6	65:33	74
3	Getafe B	38	20	10	8	77:41	70
4	Trival Valderas	38	21	6	11	77:45	69
5	CF Fuenlabrada	38	20	8	10	52:33	68
6	Real Madrid C	38	18	10	10	59:43	64
7	Navalcarnero	38	17	6	15	49:48	57
8	CD Mostoles	38	15	11	12	52:42	56
9	Rayo Majadahonda	38	16	6	16	46:47	54
10	AD Colmenar	38	16	5	17	53:54	53
11	Atl. Madrid C	38	14	10	14	55:51	52
12	San Fernando de Henares	38	14	8	16	42:58	50
13	San Sebastian Reyes	38	14	8	16	57:57	50
14	Atletico Pinto	38	12	11	15	43:62	47
15	Vallecas CF	38	12	10	16	46:51	46
16	Mexico	38	10	13	15	46:53	43
17	CD Arganda	38	9	12	17	40:61	39
18	Santa Ana	38	8	6	24	38:73	30
19	CD Ciempozuelos	38	6	6	26	36:80	24
20	Galactico Pegaso	38	6	5	27	27:73	23