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Rayo Vallecano B vs San Agustin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano B in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Vallecano B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Rayo Vallecano B
20%
Draws
64%
San Agustin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: San Agustin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Rayo Vallecano B have won more games recently than San Agustin.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 14%
San Agustin Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano B San Agustin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs San Agustin
3:1
Oct 21, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Agustin vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:3
Mar 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
San Agustin vs Rayo Vallecano B
1:1
Oct 29, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs San Agustin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano B 30 / 100
San Agustin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano B San Agustin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Agustin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

San Agustin lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Rayo Vallecano B found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano B VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano B

(Home)
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
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San Agustin

(Away)
02 Dec
San Agustin
0 : 4
Osasuna
17 Nov
San Agustin
6 : 2
Mora CF
19 May
San Agustin
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 May
Leganes B
5 : 0
San Agustin
01 May
Tres Cantos
2 : 0
San Agustin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Getafe B 38 25 8 5 58:24 83
2 CD Las Rozas 38 24 7 7 69:34 79
3 Alcobendas 38 21 9 8 49:29 72
4 CD Mostoles 38 21 8 9 41:25 71
5 Villaverde San Andres 38 18 9 11 40:31 63
6 Trival Valderas 38 16 11 11 41:32 59
7 Rayo Vallecano B 38 16 11 11 58:47 59
8 San Fernando de Henares 38 15 13 10 44:37 58
9 Leganes B 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
10 Atletico Pinto 38 14 9 15 41:51 51
11 Santa Ana 38 13 8 17 51:48 47
12 Alcorcon B 38 11 11 16 26:35 44
13 Carabanchel 38 11 11 16 29:37 44
14 RSD Alcala 38 10 14 14 25:31 44
15 Parla 38 11 10 17 39:49 43
16 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 11 7 20 38:52 40
17 Canillas 38 9 12 17 34:52 39
18 Vicalvaro 38 8 10 20 37:58 34
19 San Agustin 38 6 11 21 37:61 29
20 Tres Cantos 38 6 9 23 19:55 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)