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Rayo Vallecano B vs Trival Valderas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Rayo Vallecano B host Trival Valderas in the Tercera RFEF - Group 7. Trival Valderas are expected to control this from the start. Trival Valderas have shipped 0.95 goals a game lately, while Rayo Vallecano B have conceded 1.89 and scored 1.06. Head-to-head, Rayo Vallecano B have won 2 to Trival Valderas's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.94, favoring Trival Valderas. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Rayo Vallecano B
30%
Draws
64%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Trival Valderas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Trival Valderas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Trival Valderas's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Rayo Vallecano B Clean Sheet 10%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano B Trival Valderas
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 8 21
Draws 3 12
Losses 24 4
Goals Scored 1.06 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.89 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano B
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Trival Valderas
3:2
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano B
5:1
Apr 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Rayo Vallecano B
3:0
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Rayo Vallecano B vs Trival Valderas
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano B 10 / 100
Trival Valderas 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano B Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trival Valderas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Trival Valderas let in goals in 65% of their last 37 matches.

Rayo Vallecano B's goal record stands at 51% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Recent resilience: Rayo Vallecano B stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Vallecano B VS Trival Valderas
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano B

(Home)
04 Oct
RC Alcobendas
4 : 2
Rayo Vallecano B
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
2 : 3
Cala Pozuelo
06 Sept
CD Mostoles
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano B
Page 1 of 7

Trival Valderas

(Away)
04 Oct
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
CD Las Rozas
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
Trival Valderas
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
13 Sept
CP Parla Escuela
0 : 0
Trival Valderas
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colonia Moscardo 5 3 2 0 14:5 11
2 Trival Valderas 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
3 CD Mostoles 5 3 2 0 6:2 11
4 CD Las Rozas 5 3 1 1 11:6 10
5 Cala Pozuelo 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
6 RC Alcobendas 5 2 2 1 11:9 8
7 Galapagar 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
8 CF Fuenlabrada 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Leganes B 5 2 1 2 9:6 7
10 AD Torrejon 5 2 0 3 6:5 6
11 Union Adarve 5 1 3 1 6:8 6
12 Pozuelo de Alarcon 5 1 3 1 7:10 6
13 CP Parla Escuela 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
14 Mexico 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 Real Aranjuez 5 1 1 3 9:13 4
16 San Sebastian Reyes B 5 1 0 4 7:13 3
17 Siello 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
18 Rayo Vallecano B 5 0 1 4 6:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 (Play Offs)