Sport Picks
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
Spain
LaLiga Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes 
Match Events
2'
2'
Valentin O.
4'
4'
Canales S.
17'
17'
Ratiu A.
Assist: Camello S.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga game between Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Vallecano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rayo Vallecano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Racing Santander carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- Rayo Vallecano have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Rayo Vallecano Clean Sheet 10%
Racing Santander Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Racing Santander |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.42 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
3:2
Jul 20, 2020 LaLiga2
Racing Santander vs Rayo Vallecano
1:2
Sep 13, 2019 LaLiga2
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
2:0
Mar 3, 2012 LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
4:2
Dec 21, 2011 Copa del Rey
Rayo Vallecano vs Racing Santander
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Rayo Vallecano Compare
Top Goalscorer Camello S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ratiu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Racing Santander Compare
Top Goalscorer Canales S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Garcia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Rayo Vallecano 30 / 100
Racing Santander 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Rayo Vallecano Racing Santander
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rayo Vallecano scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Racing Santander let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 4.60 goals.
Rayo Vallecano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Rayo Vallecano VS Racing Santander
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Rayo Vallecano
(Home) 19 Sept
Osasuna
1 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Rayo Vallecano
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
31 Aug
Barcelona
5 : 2 Rayo Vallecano
Page 1 of 7
15 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 Espanyol
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
20 Aug
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Alaves
17 May
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 0 Villarreal
11 May
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Girona
Page 1 of 3
Racing Santander
(Away) 19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2 Racing Santander
12 Sept
Racing Santander
2 : 1 Alaves
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
28 Aug
Racing Santander
3 : 2 Elche
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Celta Vigo
5 : 0 Racing Santander
16 Sept
Barcelona
7 : 2 Racing Santander
05 Sept
Rayo Vallecano
3 : 2 Racing Santander
23 Aug
Getafe
1 : 0 Racing Santander
01 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Racing Santander
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 15 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 13 |
| 6 | Alaves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 11 |
| 7 | Dep. A Coruna | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Villarreal | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 8 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Getafe | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 15 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 16 | Racing Santander | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 17 | Levante | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Elche | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | 5 |
| 19 | Valencia | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Malaga | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
