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Rayo Vallecano W vs Athletic Bilbao B W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Teruel Montero L.
8' Event
Rodriguez I.
69' Event
Urzainqui A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 game between Rayo Vallecano W and Athletic Bilbao B W finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Rayo Vallecano W
35%
Draws
40%
Athletic Bilbao B W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletic Bilbao B W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Rayo Vallecano W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rayo Vallecano W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Rayo Vallecano W Clean Sheet 20%
Athletic Bilbao B W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Vallecano W Athletic Bilbao B W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Athletic Bilbao B W vs Rayo Vallecano W
2:0
Jan 15, 2023 Primera Federacion Women
Rayo Vallecano W vs Athletic Bilbao B W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Vallecano W Compare

Top Goalscorer Teruel Montero L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Athletic Bilbao B W Compare

Top Goalscorer Urzainqui A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eiderren ..
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Vallecano W 58 / 100
Athletic Bilbao B W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Vallecano W Athletic Bilbao B W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Vallecano W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Vallecano W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Athletic Bilbao B W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Rayo Vallecano W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Athletic Bilbao B W
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Vallecano W

(Home)
14 May
Rayo Vallecano W
3 : 1
Granadilla Tenerife B W
07 May
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
30 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
0 : 3
Dep. A Coruna W
23 Apr
CA Osasuna W
0 : 0
Rayo Vallecano W
16 Apr
Rayo Vallecano W
1 : 1
Eibar W
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Athletic Bilbao B W

(Away)
03 Oct
Athletic Bilbao B W
0 : 6
CA Osasuna W
26 Sept
Villarreal W
1 : 1
Athletic Bilbao B W
20 Sept
Athletic Bilbao B W
1 : 0
Tenerife B W
13 Sept
Sport Extremadura CD W
0 : 0
Athletic Bilbao B W
29 Aug
Athletic Bilbao B W
2 : 1
Real Oviedo W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona B W 30 18 5 7 58:31 59
2 Eibar W 30 13 14 3 31:18 53
3 Dep. A Coruna W 30 15 8 7 52:29 53
4 CA Osasuna W 30 14 10 6 42:23 52
5 Granada CF W 30 14 8 8 40:28 50
6 Cacereno W 30 13 9 8 34:28 48
7 SE AEM W 30 14 5 11 35:30 47
8 Logrono W 30 11 10 9 42:38 43
9 Espanyol W 30 10 10 10 38:35 40
10 Albacete W 30 9 10 11 32:32 37
11 Athletic Bilbao B W 30 11 3 16 34:51 36
12 Rayo Vallecano W 30 9 8 13 31:45 35
13 Granadilla Tenerife B W 30 9 7 14 24:37 34
14 Real Oviedo W 30 7 6 17 28:45 27
15 Cordoba W 30 6 6 18 27:48 24
16 CD Juan Grande W 30 4 7 19 24:54 19
Promotion - Liga F Women 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2022/2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)