Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio José Encarnación Romero, Maracaibo
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Ochoa J.
Assist: Romero C.
25' Event
Romero C.
Assist: Orejuela S.
46'
Sub
Maldonado M. In: Montilla Maldonado J. A.
Out: Maldonado M.

AI Match Summary

Rayo Zuliano in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rayo Zuliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Rayo Zuliano
35%
Draws
30%
Estudiantes Merida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Estudiantes Merida have won more games recently than Rayo Zuliano.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Rayo Zuliano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Rayo Zuliano Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes Merida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayo Zuliano Estudiantes Merida
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida
3:0
Feb 13, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Rayo Zuliano
1:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Estudiantes Merida
2:1
Feb 21, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Estudiantes Merida vs Rayo Zuliano
1:0
Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Estudiantes Merida vs Rayo Zuliano
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayo Zuliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ochoa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Romero C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Estudiantes Merida Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayo Zuliano 50 / 100
Estudiantes Merida 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayo Zuliano Estudiantes Merida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rayo Zuliano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes Merida let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Rayo Zuliano scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Rayo Zuliano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Rayo Zuliano VS Estudiantes Merida
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayo Zuliano

(Home)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Trujillanos
2 : 4
Rayo Zuliano
13 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Portuguesa
09 Sept
Urena
0 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
Page 1 of 6

Estudiantes Merida

(Away)
20 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Trujillanos
16 Sept
Portuguesa
2 : 1
Estudiantes Merida
12 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
2 : 0
Dep. Tachira
07 Sept
Carabobo
1 : 0
Estudiantes Merida
03 Sept
Estudiantes Merida
1 : 1
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metropolitanos 11 9 1 1 24:9 28
2 Dep. Tachira 11 7 2 2 24:14 23
3 Academia Puerto Cabello 11 5 4 2 15:9 19
4 Carabobo 11 5 3 3 12:8 18
5 Portuguesa 11 4 5 2 14:12 17
6 Deportivo La Guaira 11 5 1 5 21:16 16
7 Estudiantes Merida 11 4 4 3 12:12 16
8 Universidad Central 11 4 3 4 12:11 15
9 Monagas 11 4 2 5 12:13 14
10 Caracas 11 2 5 4 9:14 11
11 Rayo Zuliano 11 3 2 6 17:23 11
12 Trujillanos 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
13 Zamora 11 2 2 7 10:21 8
14 Academia Anzoategui 11 1 2 8 6:20 5
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Clausura - Quadrangular)