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Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Rayong Provincial Stadium, Rayong
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Match Events

13'
Mesa R.
34' Event
Panya E.
Assist: Aggoun T.
45'
Bruno Leite

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Rayong FC
35%
Draws
32%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Rayong FC haven't matched Ratchaburi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ratchaburi's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ratchaburi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Ratchaburi
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
1:1
May 3, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC
6:1
Dec 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
2:4
Feb 26, 2025 League Cup
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Panya E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 18 / 100
Ratchaburi 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Ratchaburi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ratchaburi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Ratchaburi conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: Rayong FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS Ratchaburi
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Rayong FC

(Home)
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
13 Sept
Chonburi
2 : 3
Rayong FC
05 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 0
Prachuap
10 May
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Bangkok Utd
03 May
Ratchaburi
6 : 1
Rayong FC
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Ratchaburi

(Away)
09 Oct
Ratchaburi
6 : 0
Sukhothai
07 Oct
Ratchaburi
1 : 1
Ho Chi Minh
20 Sept
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Ratchaburi
15 Sept
Ratchaburi
4 : 6
Shanghai Port
11 Sept
Ratchaburi
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ratchaburi 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
2 Buriram United F.C. 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
3 Rayong FC 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 Uthai Thani 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
5 Prachuap 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
6 Bangkok Utd 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
7 Port MTI FC 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
8 Ayutthaya United 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
9 Pathum United 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
10 Chiangrai Utd 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
11 Pattani 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
12 Sisaket United 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Sukhothai 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
14 Rasisalai United 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
15 Lamphun Warrior 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
16 Chonburi 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 2027/2028 (Main)