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Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 Rayong Provincial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Deni Junior
(Penalty)
40'
Sub
Suengchitthawon T. In: Jakkuprasat S.
Out: Suengchitthawon T.
45'
Jakkuprasat S.

AI Match Summary

Ratchaburi in this Thai League 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ratchaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Rayong FC
6%
Draws
90%
Ratchaburi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ratchaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Rayong FC haven't matched Ratchaburi's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ratchaburi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Ratchaburi have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%
Ratchaburi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Rayong FC Ratchaburi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC
6:1
Dec 16, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
2:4
Feb 26, 2025 League Cup
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Ratchaburi
1:4
Oct 5, 2024 Thai League 1
Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Rayong FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Amornlerdsak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ratchaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakotoharimalala N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Deni Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Rayong FC 10 / 100
Ratchaburi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Rayong FC Ratchaburi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayong FC scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Ratchaburi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Rayong FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Rayong FC VS Ratchaburi
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423